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Let’s be honest. Removing William Ruto in 2027 will not be easy. Incumbency is powerful. The networks are already in place. The machinery is organised. Anyone who thinks rallies alone can change that is dreaming.
That is why Babu Owino and Edwin Sifuna are not behaving recklessly. They are loud, yes. They attack hard, yes. But behind the noise, there is calculation.
Babu: Secure Nairobi, Build Authority
For Babu, the clearest path in 2027 is Nairobi’s governorship. That is not a small seat. It is the capital city. Control Nairobi and you control visibility, influence and a serious budget.
Right now, Babu is known as an aggressive MP who speaks his mind. If he becomes governor, he stops being just a critic and becomes an executive. That changes everything. He would manage real projects, real money, real delivery. That gives him credibility beyond protest politics.
A direct presidential run in 2027 would be dramatic, but the numbers don’t favour it yet. Kenya’s presidency is won through regional coalitions, not just urban popularity. Nairobi alone cannot carry the country. Babu knows that. Winning Nairobi first makes him stronger for 2032 — or at least makes him a serious power broker in any opposition deal.
Sifuna: Structure, Not Spectacle
Sifuna moves differently. He is less about hype and more about structure. As Senator, he has built a reputation as disciplined and sharp. He understands party politics and coalition talk.
In 2027, he is unlikely to gamble on something unrealistic. The smarter move for him is to retain his Senate seat and grow his influence within the opposition. That way, when coalitions are negotiated, he is inside the room — not outside shouting.
If the opposition unites behind one candidate — maybe someone like Kalonzo Musyoka or another compromise figure — Sifuna’s value increases. He becomes useful as a negotiator, strategist, or even running mate material if generational change becomes attractive.
He is building credibility slowly, not chasing instant headlines.
The 2027 Reality: It’s Crowded
This will not be a two-man show. Other names are already circling. Fred Matiang’i is often mentioned as a technocratic alternative. Rigathi Gachagua still carries influence in parts of Mount Kenya. Kalonzo wants another shot. And of course, Ruto is defending his seat.
If the opposition splinters into many candidates, the incumbent benefits. If they unite, the race becomes tight. That is the real calculation Babu and Sifuna must make — fight alone and risk isolation, or compromise and stay relevant.
Strengths — And Limits
Both men have strong urban appeal. They connect with younger voters. They dominate online spaces. But here is the hard truth: youth excitement does not always translate into votes. Turnout matters more than trending topics.
They also have to deal with internal party politics. Opposition unity is never automatic. Ego, regional balance and deal-making always come into play. Loud leaders sometimes get sidelined when negotiations start.
So What Are They Really Doing?
They are securing relevance.
Babu wants executive power in Nairobi to strengthen his national future. Sifuna wants structural influence inside the opposition to stay central in coalition talks. Neither appears naïve enough to believe 2027 is a guaranteed revolution.
They are preparing for two possibilities:
A serious 2027 fight if opposition unity holds.
A stronger 2032 position if 2027 doesn’t flip the table.
That is not recklessness. That is survival politics.
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